⛳Course Overview

Marco Simone (Guidonia, Italy)

• Par: 72

• Yardage: 7,255 - 7,268

• Number of Par 3s: 4

• Number of Par 4s: 12

• Number of Par 5s: 4

• Drivable Par 4s: 2

💹Betting Market Round Up

Pinnacle Odds: Europe -104 / USA +115 (Tie +1125)

Data Golf Odds: Europe +139 / USA -101 (Tie 1150)

💰Market Highlights

• The Europeans were available to bet at +170 earlier in the year - heavy movement in favor of them as the tournament approached

• This is a very big discrepancy between Data Golf and the betting markets - which is notable

📈Market Darlings (Players that have seen betting volume FOR them)

• N/A

📉Market Fallers (Players that have seen betting volume AGAINST them)

• N/A

⛈️Projected Weather

Beautiful weather projected for this week - don’t expect British Open type weather

Weather Station:

Ciampino, Italy Weather Conditions | Weather Underground

Friday AM

• Wind: 3-4 mph

• Temp: 64 - 78 °F

• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Friday PM

• Wind: 4-8 mph

• Temp: 78 - 80 °F

• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Saturday AM

• Wind: 3-4 mph

• Temp: 61 - 78 °F

• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Saturday PM

• Wind: 4-8 mph

• Temp: 78 - 82 °F

• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Sunday AM

• Wind: 3-4 mph

• Temp: 62 - 79 °F

• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Sunday PM

• Wind: 4-8 mph

• Temp: 79 - 83 °F

• Rain: Sunny ☀️

🤕Injury News

• Team USA: None

• Team Europe: Rory McIlroy (Back, he’s fine)

🤔Interesting Thoughts

⛳Thoughts on Course

• There is a lot of talk about how hilly and long the walk is at Marco Simone. Some refer to it as a “golf cart course”. Many believe that the course will make it hard for anyone to play 5 matches.

• Most experts believe “long and straight” is the key skill (wow hitting it long and straight is gonna be key?!?)

• Water comes into play on 6 holes - Andy Lack called Marco Simone “European PGA National”

🏌️Thoughts on Players

• Sophie Walker had an interesting comment on the Pinnacle Betting Preview (link below). She said that the American rookies in the Solheim Cup said it was incredibly difficult being a rookie on European soil. Will this matter for the US Rookies (Harman, Homa, Clark, Burns)?

• My opinion on who will play all 5 matches: Rory, Rahm and Hovland…maaaybe Scheffler

• Scottie Scheffler is working with a new putting coach - he’s been terrible on the greens and amazing through the air

🤝Projected Pairings (Wait till Friday morning pairings are announced before betting)

USA

• Xander Schauffele / Patrick Cantlay (There is almost no way this team is ever split up)

• Justin Thomas / Jordan Spieth (Not as good as Xander/Cantlay but should go out together…JT at risk of getting benched quickly though)

• Scottie Scheffler / Sam Burns (Burns could be yanked from Scottie if he doesn’t play great)

• Colin Morikawa and Max Homa (More solid than people think)

Europe

• Jon Rahm and Tyrell Hatton (Only one I feel confident on)

• I think you will see Aberg, Hovland and Rory play with each other and then Fleetwood, Lowry, Rose and Fitzpatrick rotate with each other. Not very confident in this though

📺How to watch:

Friday: 1:30am EST to 12:00pm EST (USA Network, fubo, Rydercup.com)

Saturday: 1:30am EST to 12:00pm EST (NBC, fubo, Rydercup.com)

Sunday: 5:30am EST to 1:00pm EST (NBC, fubo, Rydercup.com)

🎰Betting Tip of the Week:

1. When playing DFS, remember that players are 100% correlated with their partners on day 1 and day 2. They are inversely correlated with their opponents (but not 100%)

2. Everyone who starts in the Friday Morning Wave will have insanely high ownership in traditional DFS - but it’s most likely warranted because they will play more matches on average

📚Best Resources for Further Research:

• Data Golf Preview (free)

Ryder Cup

• Pinnacle Betting Preview (YouTube video)

2023 Ryder Cup Preview and Predictions | Major Talk Podcast

• Andy Lack’s Course Breakdown (RRG Subscription Required)

Restricted Access - RickRunGood | Fantasy Golf & Betting Data

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