Big GP Picks+ Update

The last few months we have been hard at work improving the ROI, tracking, and user experience of GP Picks+. I am very excited to announce some epic changes that make Picks+ a must-have for bettors who can use a computer.

If you have been on the fence on subbing - this is a SIGNIFICANT improvement in the product. Also - there will almost certainly be a price increase this year.

Three main reasons for likely price raise:

1. Restrictions around how many custom channels we can have in discord

2. More users, less value - so the equilibrium will be a higher price point that can host a viable number of users to operate without adding so many that value for users falls off a cliff.

3. At one point I swear to god I am going to make a dollar on this thing…

If you want to get started - check out the subscription options here: GP Picks+

If you want to learn more about the changes and get some inside info on the sharpest books in player props - keep reading.

1. Tracking

We have implemented third-party tracking for all of the alerts we push. The way this works is, all alerts are saved automatically and sent to BowTiedBettor with IDs that fit a grading process he has already built out for himself. He grades the plays and sends them back.

This accomplishes two things:

1) It creates transparent results for the service and gives us a number we want to continue to optimize for.

2) It gives us a ton of valuable data on which books are sharp in what markets, which allows us to make our alerts more profitable.

We started tracking this year - and the ROI per bet is 3.5%. Below you can find a graph in units of results if you flat bet 1 unit on each alert we have tracked and graded.

As you can see - we have graded nearly 40k alerts and the results are “pretty solid”. The reason I say just “pretty” solid is that when you grade 40,000+ bets you get a lot of actionable data about the betting markets. We have incorporated the most obvious changes already and I expect the next two months of results should have a higher ROI.

2. Custom Channels

I am super excited about custom channels. If you have used GP Picks+, you probably have had the thought "I really only want to see bets using {sharp book} in {sport} that show value against [book1 , book2, book3].

Now this is a reality!

Each user can create and modify a custom channel that allows them to create alerts that are the highest value to them. Users will select the following from a dropdown menu (and the criteria can be changed at any time).

Each user now has their own custom channel that they can use to select the exact type of bets they want to see.

And I will get alerts like this in my custom feed:

(Interesting - on this prop you can see both Pinny and FanDuel move off the +102 number. Always nice when both of your sharp books agree!)

The above configuration is a set-up that wants to bet NBA player props into rec books using the two sharpest player prop books from our data this year.

Wait…what?

Yeah, I wanted to sneak in some useful information so this email isn’t just a shameless shill (no pun intended). The two sharpest books for player props we have seen in our data are FanDuel and Pinnacle - and it’s a pretty clear-cut 1/2.

So take from this what you will - but I would be very careful betting into FanDuel and Pinny on props and be less careful betting into other books when Pinny and FanDuel agree with you.

If this more versatile version of GP Picks+ is something you could use in your arsenal - sign up here: GP Picks+